Live Regime Snapshot

A public look at the current macro regime, operational classifier status, and data freshness. For the repeatable weekly outcome, open the Weekly Macro Brief and review every newly dated classifier input in one place.

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Current Regime Snapshot

Live composite regime signal. Classification confidence is not shown until a reproducible calibration is available.

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FRED

Data updates on varying schedules: Daily VIX, spreads & yields, Monthly CFNAI

Last 30 Days: Regime History

Visual timeline of recent regime transitions. Hover over each block for details.

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Pro members can explore all 398 observed transitions and generated backtest summaries.

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See Regimes in Action

Interactive walkthroughs of historical market crises — COVID 2020, Lehman 2008, and more.

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Liquidity Pulse

Current

Net USD Liquidity: Fed Balance Sheet minus Treasury cash minus Reverse Repo

Full liquidity analysis
Historical trends, central bank flows, and Real M2 tracking

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Save a Regime-Change Alert Preference

Free accounts can save 1 regime-change alert preference.

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Get access to all 8,256 days of regime history, transition probabilities, and backtested asset performance.

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✓Full liquidity workspace

✓Historical backtests

✓Asset correlations by regime

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PRO

The regime snapshot is useful — but it's just the surface. Pro members get the full picture: what's driving the regime, how it's evolving, and what it means for different assets.

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Liquidity Flows

Latest published Fed, TGA, and RRP observations

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Risk Dashboard

VIX, spreads, correlations

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Asset Performance

What's working in this regime

Track what moves markets

Net Liquidity, M2, central bank flows — see them update as data drops, not days later.

Know how assets behave in each regime

Historical performance tables, correlations, and regime-specific patterns from 398 regime changes.

Monitor changing inputs

Indicator momentum and generated historical comparisons help you inspect a shift after the underlying data change; they are not a calibrated early-warning forecast.

Track growth, liquidity, and market risk in one workspace

Generated historical context includes raw sample counts

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