Complete Your Weekly Macro Review
See what changed, why it matters, and where the evidence came from.
The Weekly Macro Brief brings the current seven-state regime, every newly dated classifier input, freshness, and source methods into one repeatable review. Guest preview available; free accounts can save one completion per product week.
Use the short inline product tour for the weekly workflow, or take the longer Learn curriculum for the underlying concepts. Historical quantities remain traceable to published artifacts, disclosed samples, and source hashes.
From Raw Data to Regime Classification
The same process a macro analyst does in Excel, automated and applied to a generated descriptive history from 2003–2026.
Versioned Inputs
From FRED, DBnomics, and OECD. Series you can verify yourself.
3 Display Dimensions
Net Liquidity = Fed Assets - TGA - RRP. Real M2 adjusted for inflation. Growth, Liquidity, Risk.
7 Regimes
Episode durations and observed next-state frequencies are read from the generated artifacts. See transitions →
Generated Historical Context
The longest observed episodes for each generated state are shown without hand-labelled event narratives. They come from 398 generated changes since 2003 and are descriptive, not independent validation.
The published timeline records a 36.8% Crisis-to-Recovery next-state frequency and 117 Crisis episodes since 2003. This is descriptive, not predictive. See methodology
Build It Yourself or Use VantMacro
Everything we do is replicable with public data. Here's what the manual process looks like.
DIY Approach
Manual data processing
- 1.Download 6 indicators from FRED (WALCL, WDTGAL, RRPONTSYD, M2SL, VIXCLS, BAMLH0A0HYM2)
- 2.Calculate Net Liquidity and Real M2 with proper adjustments
- 3.Apply z-score normalization, map to 3 dimensions (Growth, Liquidity, Risk)
- 4.Classify into 7 regimes as new source observations become available
VantMacro
Automated & traceable
Open the dashboard. See today's operational regime classification and the input evidence behind it.
Updated automatically when underlying data releases.
Backtested against 398 regime transitions (2003-2026).
Full methodology documentation so you can verify our work.
Want to build it yourself? We publish all our data sources and formulas. See the methodology →
Why VantMacro?
Stop juggling 12 tabs. Get the regime answer in 10 seconds, not 10 minutes.
"No more 12 tabs"
Fed data, credit spreads, and regime context in one view
"Verify the narrative"
Check any claim against empirical data
"No PhD required"
From raw data to regime answer in 10 seconds
Fed + ECB + BoJ + PBOC in one view
Track global central bank liquidity — not just the US. See where the world's money is expanding or contracting.
Professional Macro Dashboard Features
Track global liquidity, market regimes, and business cycles with our empirically-grounded composite engine. Three-dimensional analysis keeps the macro story consistent and transparent.
Global Liquidity Tracker
Track the disclosed Fed Assets minus TGA minus RRP proxy. The former liquidity–NASDAQ level regression is excluded because mixed units and non-stationary levels made its fit unreliable ( see Methodology). Updated when the underlying releases arrive.
Market Regime Detection
The dashboard combines growth, inflation, liquidity, volatility, and credit inputs under a disclosed operational method. Generated case studies show the dated observations without treating curated episodes as classifier-accuracy labels.
Business Cycle Indicators
Bittel's Macro Seasons framework, operationalized. When growth rises and inflation falls, it's 'Spring' (early-cycle). When both fall, it's 'Winter' (recession). See where we are now.
Knowledge Hub
In-depth guides, concepts, frameworks, and generated case-study evidence. Empirical quantities are rendered from versioned artifacts instead of copied into article prose.
Transparent Methodology
Historical quantities and classifier boundaries are generated from versioned artifacts. We publish samples, source hashes, temporal-stability checks, methods, and limitations without presenting descriptive bins as calibrated probabilities.
Simple, Transparent Pricing
See today's macro regime for free. Upgrade for the full professional platform.
Free
See the current regime for free
- ✓Current macro regime snapshot
- ✓Methodology & transparency pages
- ✓Preview of Pro dashboards
- ✓No credit card required
Pro
Unlock the full macro intelligence platform
- ✓Full Liquidity / Indicators / Risk workspaces
- ✓Asset Performance & global asset tracking
- ✓Correlations, backtests & historical analysis
- ✓Updated as data is released (daily/weekly/monthly)
7-day free trial · No charge until trial ends · Cancel anytime · First-time Pro subscribers may request a full refund within 14 days under the Terms of Service · Taxes may apply based on location
Join the VantMacro product waitlist
Register interest in product access, feature launches, and release notes.
Frequently Asked Questions
A calibrated classifier-accuracy estimate is not currently available. We publish descriptive results across 398 generated regime transitions since 2003, plus a median-date temporal comparison whose average regime-return correlation is -0.18. That comparison measures stability of asset-return patterns, not whether the classifier predicted an independently labelled regime.
Get in Touch
Or email us directly at [email protected]