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7 Regime Playbooks

Regime Playbooks

Actionable guidance for each market regime. Based on 427+ historical regime transitions since 2003.

Asset performance dataTransition probabilitiesRisk indicators
Reflationary Expansion
Low Risk

Risk-on expansion with supportive policy

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Post Shock Recovery
Medium Risk

Early recovery from market stress

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Late Cycle Inflationary Boom
Medium Risk

Strong growth with rising inflation

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Disinflationary Slowdown
Medium Risk

Cooling growth, defensive positioning

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Stagflationary Squeeze
High Risk

Weak growth with restrictive policy

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Crisis Liquidation
High Risk

High stress, flight to safety

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Transitional
Medium Risk

Mixed signals, regime in flux

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Not sure which regime we're in?

Check the dashboard to see the current regime classification and confidence level.

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