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Crisis/LiquidationDay 3-7 of 33-day crisis

COVID Crash Week

March 16-20, 2020

Interactive walkthrough of the most volatile week in modern market history.

What Happened

“Circuit breakers triggered - worst day since 1987”

Fed Action

Emergency rate cut to 0-0.25%, $700B QE announced (March 15)

S&P 500

2,386

-11.98%
VIX

82.69

+43.20%
HY Spreads

1087 bp

Extreme stress

Session

Monday

Mar 16, 2020

What VantMacro Would Have Shown

Regime

Crisis/Liquidation

Confidence: 94%

Most Likely Next

Post-Shock Recovery

Probability: 88.5%

Historical Duration

Median: 4 days

Based on 26 occurrences

Compare to 427 Historical Transitions

See how this crisis compares to every regime transition since 2003. Get full asset performance data and historical context.

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Full regime history (2003-present)
Asset performance by regime
Transition probability models

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Market Regimes Explained

Understanding the 7-regime framework

This case study uses historical data for educational purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The regime classifications shown are based on VantMacro's empirical framework applied retrospectively.